Natural gas prices back near 10-year lows as production booms, supplies at record levels

NEW YORK — (Source) The price of natural gas dropped back near a 10-year low Wednesday after Exxon Mobil and other energy companies declined to cut production.

Exxon, America’s biggest natural gas producer, has led a push by major industry players into U.S. gas drilling over the past few years that has boosted production to the highest levels ever. Supplies in storage are well above average, and some experts estimate the nation has enough natural gas to meet its needs for a century.

Investors hoped that Exxon would follow smaller competitors like Chesapeake Energy and shut down some natural gas rigs. But when it released its quarterly and annual earnings results Tuesday, Exxon said it will not slow natural gas production.

“We remain bullish on the future of natural gas as an energy source,” Exxon investor relations chief David Rosenthal said.

The company has started to shift its focus to developing more oil in the U.S., but “we have not curtailed any gas production,” Rosenthal said.

On Wednesday the price of natural gas fell 10 cents, or 4 percent, to $2.40 per 1,000 cubic feet in New York. That follows an 8 percent drop on Tuesday. Natural hit a 10-year low on Jan. 19 at $2.32 per 1,000 cubic feet. The price rose briefly, after Chesapeake and other companies said they would cut natural gas production. It slid back as investors lost faith that the reductions would significantly impact supplies and mild winter weather persisted, keeping demand weak.

Washington Post: Natural gas prices back near 10-year lows as production booms, supplies at record levels

Obama backs shale gas drilling

(Source: Reuters) – President Barack Obama on Tuesday pledged support for the U.S. shale gas boom, but said government must focus on safe development of the energy resource.

In his State of the Union address, Obama called for government to develop a roadmap for responsible shale gas production and said his administration would move forward with “common-sense” new rules to make sure drillers protect the public.

“America will develop this resource without putting the health and safety of our citizens at risk,” Obama said.

Obama’s proposals on natural gas were similar to previous administration comments, and would do little to satisfy oil and gas industry backers who argue that the federal government needs to stay out of the way of burgeoning shale development.

Some industry groups had hoped Obama might streamline government oversight or offer specific plans to increase access for oil and gas drilling.

Instead, Obama pressed again for ending tax breaks for the oil and gas industry in his speech, something he has pushed for repeatedly without success.

The American Petroleum Institute, the top oil and gas lobbying group, said the policies Obama promoted in his speech are at odds with expanding energy output.

Full Story: Obama backs shale gas drilling

T. Boone Pickens Statement on President Obama’s State of the Union Address

“In his remarks in the State of the Union address, President Barack Obama again called for a national focus on developing a long-term energy plan for America. I agree we should use every available American resource. I applaud President Obama for highlighting natural gas and for calling on Congress to better promote its use.

“The expanded use of natural gas in America – in power generation and transportation – has enormous bipartisan support in the Congress and in the states. It is time to move from vague generalities to specifics on how we make this transition happen. I am confident that President Obama, as well as all the candidates for President, will lay out detailed plans on how they intend to achieve it.

“We cannot solve the OPEC dependency crisis without a focus on transportation. It is two-thirds of all oil use. Oil is not a major player in the production of electricity so creating more energy from natural gas, hydro, wind, solar or nuclear will not have a major impact on our dependence on OPEC for our oil. Finding a substitute for oil as a major transportation fuel will.

“We have massive amounts of natural gas reserves in the United States and we should immediately move to better utilize it. As a White House report on rebuilding our economy states, natural gas is the cleanest of the fossil fuels.

“America does not have a natural gas production problem – we are awash in natural gas. What we have is a demand problem and unless we bring both sides of the equation in balance, we will see this cleaner, cheaper, abundant, domestic resource exported in greater and greater quantities.

“I hope the President and the Congress will call on American ingenuity and creativity to utilize all of our domestic resources. America is blessed with having the cheapest energy in the world right now. It is that cheap energy – including coal, oil and natural gas – that will not only fuel our factories, cars, and trucks, but will fuel the resurgence of manufacturing in America, while creating solid, well-paying, and permanent jobs.”

Source: The Pickens’ Plan

Obama Pushes Natural-Gas Fracking to Create 600,000 U.S. Jobs

“We have a supply of natural gas that can last America nearly 100 years, and my administration will take every possible action to safely develop this energy,” President Barack Obama stated in tonight’s State of the Union address.

For years, the Horn River News has been supporting the the opportunity that North America’s shale gas reserves represent to provide a domestically produced, lower carbon energy source to the United States’ and Canada’s energy needs.

President Obama’s support for the shale gas industry was a little short on reality. The solution for addressing the concerns of fracking is not in having the drillers disclose the ingredients of their fracturing fluids but in passing law and enforcing the use of non-toxic fluids, and double lining the drill holes that pass through the water table.

Companies like GasFrac Energy Services Ltd. of Calgary – a company often referred to here – is leading the charge using non-toxic fracturing fluids and recovering nearly all the fluid. Double lining can be easily done (oil tankers use to be single hulled until oil spills forced the use of double hulled ships only). Technology can be employed to make the shale gas industry safer. And we should always look to employing the best technologies available to continually improve safety.

Obama Pushes Natural-Gas Fracking to Create 600,000 U.S. Jobs

Jan. 25 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama pushed drilling for gas in shale rock and support for cleaner energy sources to boost the economy in his final State of the Union address before facing U.S. voters in November.

Hydraulic fracturing, the process of injecting water, sand and chemicals underground to free gas trapped in rock, could create more than 600,000 jobs by the end of the decade, Obama said yesterday. The process, called fracking, is among a list of energy policies Obama said would fuel economic growth.

Full Article

The EPA’s Fracking Scare

The fracking controversy and debate continues. A recent article in The Wall Street Journal titled The EPA’s Fracking Scare summarizes some points and makes some important observations. The one they fail to mention is that the fracking technology has dramatically improved to address many of the concerns raised. As stated in the article: “By all means take threats to drinking water seriously. But we also need to be sure that regulators aren’t spreading needless fears so they can enhance their own power while pursuing an ideological agenda.”

The EPA’s Fracking Scare

Breaking down the facts in that Wyoming drinking water study.

(Source: The Wall Street Journal) The shale gas boom has been a rare bright spot in the U.S. economy, so much of the country let out a shudder two weeks ago when the Environmental Protection Agency issued a “draft” report that the drilling process of hydraulic fracturing may have contaminated ground water in Pavillion, Wyoming. The good news is that the study is neither definitive nor applicable to the rest of the country.

“When considered together with other lines of evidence, the data indicates likely impact to ground water that can be explained by hydraulic fracking,” said the EPA report, referring to the drilling process that blasts water and chemicals into shale rock to release oil and natural gas. The news caused elation among environmentalists and many in the media who want to shut down fracking.

More than one-third of all natural gas drilling now uses fracking, and that percentage is rising. If the EPA Wyoming study holds up under scrutiny, an industry that employs tens of thousands could be in peril.

But does it stand up? This is the first major study to have detected linkage between fracking and ground-water pollution, and the EPA draft hasn’t been peer reviewed by independent scientific analysts. Critics are already picking apart the study, which Wyoming Governor Matt Mead called “scientifically questionable.”

Full Story: The EPA’s Fracking Scare

China Shale Gas Discovery May Kill Canadian Pipeline and LNG Plans

Royal Dutch Shell has discovered shale gas in China – a market that North American producers hope will drive demand for their export plans to Asia.

Shell has not made any public confirmation of the discovery, but their local partner PetroChina has indicated positive progress. Professor Yuzhang Liu, Vice president of Petrochina’s Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development is quoted by Reuters as stating:

“Shell has two vertical wells and they got very good primary production. It’s good news for shale gas.”

And while shale gas has been a boon in the United States, a similar revolution in China would be at the expense of North American (and others) producers hoping to export natural gas to China. Canada is also is looking towards Asia as the US has increased domestic production and Canadian exports to the US have fallen. Two separate groups have formulated plans for an Liquified Natural Gas (“LNG”) export facility in Kitimat, BC. To get the natural gas to the coast, a major pipeline is required. Considerable investment considerations that now might be seeing the market they were targeting for sales, starting to diminish.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that  China has 1,275 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of technically recoverable shale gas resources. That would make it the largest in the world followed by an estimated 862 tcf in the US. And given their long term energy demands, China will invest heavily in proving up the potential of this major energy source. Its cleaner then coal, and its domestic exploration, extraction and production would be a major job creator.

But not all is lost for Canada’s export of natural gas. The three major target markets in Asia are China, Japan and Korea. And the latter two, are still desperate of natural gas, and have no known shale gas deposits of any commercially viable size. In fact, it’s Royal Dutch Shell that is leading one of the two LNG export facilities being contemplated for Kitimat, BC.  Shell along with Korea Gas Corp (“Korgas”), China National Petroleum Co. and Mitsubishi Corp., are considering a plant that would produce and load 1.8 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day onto LNG tankers heading for Asia. The other plan is for a 1.4-billion cubic feet a day facility proposed by Kitimat LNG, which is owned and backed by Apache Corp. , EOG Resources Inc. and Encana Corp.

If Shell and PetroChina do determine that shale gas deposits in China are economically viable, and they are able to recover the amounts suggested by the EIA it will have an impact on pipeline and export facility plans in Canada. Worse case it may merely delay the plans as other Asian markets will and have made long term commitments to buying Canadian natural gas.

Regardless, the shale gas revolution that HRN predicted would have a significant impact on the global energy market and global geopolitical is well underway and may happen faster then we all expect. Keep an eye on Shell’s progress in China as their drilling activities are expected to be concluded by the end of the year.

Reuters: Shell strikes shale gas in China

Prudent Development of North America’s Abundent Natural Gas and Oil Resources

HRN supports the exploration and development of shale gas throughout North America and the world. Today’s technology makes the frac process both effecient and environmentally safe. And the technology continues to improve.

This is a report published by the National Petroleum Council on the prudent development of North America’s abundant natural gas and oil reserves. The key word here is “abundant”.North America can make effecient use of domestic resources to create a more self suffecient energy supply that creates jobs and provides increased economic benefits in North America.

National Petroleum Council slide presentation: “Prudent Development”.

 

Shale Gas in Europe: Revolution or Evolution?

For a couple years now, HRN has predicted that the same technology break throughs that resulted in the shale gas boom in the US, and Canada will have a profound impact on the geopolotics of Europe, and other parts of the world as it unlocks trillions of of cubic feet of natural gas from the shale in several part of the world.

In a report released today (Dec. 5th, 2011), by Ernst & Young titled “Shale gas in Europe: revolution or evolution” indicates that while shale gas has had a transformative impact on the outlook for the US energy market, the impact on the European market may be more evolutionary in nature.

John Avaldsnes, Ernst & Young’s EMEIA Oil & Gas Sector Leader is quoted as stating;

“While exploration is underway in several countries such as Austria, Germany, Hungary, Ireland, Poland, Sweden and the UK, no shale gas play has yet been brought into production in Europe, and only a fraction of this resource base is likely to ever prove commercial and be produced. In addition, over half of all estimated European shale gas reserves, which accounts for almost 10% of the global total, are concentrated in just two countries, Poland and France.

“There are some difficult challenges that the industry needs to address. There appears to be no consensus across Europe on shale gas development and government attitudes vary, in some cases markedly. Public opinion on the issue is similarly divided, adding to pressure on governments to take action to either support or restrict shale gas development with most countries adopting a ‘wait and see’ attitude.”

A copy of the report is available here;
“Shale Gas in Europe: revolution or evolution”

Shale Gas Reserves Could Reignite U.S. Economy

This story in Bloomberg is worth a read. The economic potential of shale gas to have a bigger economic impact is there. For the most part of its history, the Horn River News has focused on the potential of shale gas to reduce carbon emissions, and decrease US dependency on suppliers that are in conflict with with US interests.

Given the flat US economy we are seeing increasing interest opportunity in the shale gas industry as a positive contributor to the US economy. Here in British Columbia, Canada, hundreds of millions of dollars were invested into shale gas infrastructure, gas pipelines, roads, etc. All creating valuable jobs for BC.

Read: Shale Gas Reserves Could Reignite U.S. Economy

UPDATE: Business Week: Could the Shale Gas Industry Reignite the U.S. Economy?

China Plans Subsidies to Tap Shale Gas Reserves Larger Than U.S.

As Americans debate about shale gas, China is moving forward to tap its own massive reserves of shale gas. And when they do and if they offset a good percentage of coal power generation  with natural gas power generation, the world will witness first hand the positive environmental impact this transition will have on the air people breath in Beijing.

According to Zhang Dawei, deputy head of the Strategic Research Center at the Ministry of Land and Resources, China will produce 6.5 billion cubic meters of annual output by 2015 and 80 billion cubic meters by 2020. China currently does not commercially produce any shale gas.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) stated in April that there may be as much as 1,275 trillion cubic feet (36 trillion cubic meters) of shale gas in China. That is 12 times the country’s conventional natural gas deposits. The EIA estimates that China’s “technically recoverable” reserves are almost 50 percent more than the 862 trillion cubic feet held by the U.S. – the largest producer in the world.
Bloomberg News via the Sanfrancisco Chronicle: